I dare to guess: It's time for some smart excluding.
I dropped use of Time Machine for snapshots of the few files I am working on.
One of the advantages of that approach is that the backup is coherent:
new files and old files together as they 'were'.
With Time Machine it can be cumbersome to collect all past sources that formed a project.
Anyway: any backup method is better than none.
;JOOP!
I'm glad to say that my backup size been behaving quite well, even if i use Mail but don't keep it always open as I used to. Thanks to this thread
I don't want to exclude too much, I usually do only the Downloads folder. I tend to treat a MacBook as an expendable item as it can get lost, stolen or damaged at any time, and I have a reaaaaaly customised setup, legacy apps, drivers etc. and would like to have everything back as it was asap. TM has never let me down, so far... touching wood. Sits on my server and syncs over wi-fi or cable, avoiding a hustle with external drives falling on the floor when you move...
Any 2 backup methods are better than 1
All my most recent/important files sit in iCloud Drive therefore are backed-up off-site in real-time, just in case. Just heard too many stories of people loosing all their work due to their laptop being stolen.
For projects I use Git version control, but it isn't very good for large or binary files such as images, so I'm trying to keep a clear directory structure of such... trying is a keyword ;-)