It’s a peer reviewed study and you can find it
here. Listened to a really interesting podcast with John P A Ioannidis
here too. He states the IFR rate of 0.23% in his peer reviewed paper, is actually likely to be even lower and he gives his reasons in the podcast. Just can’t understand why his paper hasn’t received the airtime on either TV or Radio.
It’s a tricky one and there’s lots to it... I think everyone will/should naturally want to keep each other safe as best they can, especially their loved ones. My personal take on this is pretty simple. If you deem your chances against the virus to be poor, getting vaccinated is probably wise, wear your masks and keep your distance etc. Maybe even stay in until you’ve been vaccinated! Certainly if you’re over life expectancy age, the vaccine is probably a good thing.
In the UK
here, up till about the start of March 2021 we had 524 deaths in people aged 15-44 (my age bracket). Those unfortunate people who died are likely to have had underlying health problems.
According to the government’s own statistics, there have been a similar number of deaths from people having both the Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccines too. Now it’s not clear what age groups those unfortunate people fell under, but again I’m assuming they were likely to have had underlying health problems. You really have to look for this information though... Here are the links for the
Pfizer Print Analysis and the
AstraZeneca Print Analysis. But, you can’t find that information anywhere on the NHS (National Health Service) website! That I find extremely odd.
Anyway, based on numbers alone, a healthy person in the 15-44 age bracket pretty much has nothing to worry about from the virus as you can see in the UK Gov Greenbook I linked.
I think closing up business and taking away people’s means of earning a living, is an extreme measure. I’m not saying this should never be considered for any disease, but I’m not sure it should have been enforced for something that the UK Government no longer considered to be a High Consequence Infectious Disease back on 19th March 2020. Yes March 2020! As you can see
here. Again that’s not to undermine the loss people have suffered on the back of Covid-19, there have been around 130,000 that have died ‘with’ Covid. But again, there in lies another problem... Dying with or of.
Conscious I’ve gone on a bit here but, regarding your last point about athletes. I’ll be honest, I don’t know of any who have had a lasting dose of Covid. I think I may have heard about an MMA fighter recently but I can’t remember who. Did you ever hear of a footballer called Fabrice Muamba? He suffered a cardiac arrest on the pitch a good few years back now. He survived thankfully. There was also Marty Fish who played tennis and a Welsh Olympic Rower whose name escapes me, who both suffered from Atrial Fibrillation. Yep it’s scary to think that people in their prime can come down with illness, but it happens. I agree, the thought of being changed is really scary. There is a lady on Good Morning Britain whose husband has been in hospital with Covid since last March or April! Think the best thing we can do is look at the numbers, seek out the data and keep perspective.
Thanks mate, appreciate that! Nice to speak with someone in a cordial manner!