Originally posted by the future
Dude, is it really so hard to understand the difference between "3 GHz G5s are coming very very soon" (as Gekko and no-one else claims) and "There will be no intermediate revision before 3 GHz G5s will come in late summer" (as others speculate)??
What is *really* ridiculous, though, is to say that a poster on a freakin' rumors site has any kind of responsibility for the truthfulness of his posts. If you base your buying decision on something like this, you don't seem to understand the very nature of rumor sites.
"Dude," other people have speculated for some time now that we will see 3Ghz machines before summer. The
problem is that the guy predicted that they'd appear at MWSF. You're right -- very few people predicted that. And those that did -- NeatGekko included -- were wrong.
Now we were told that 3Ghz would be hit by this summer. It's
not even a stretch to take what Jobs said and posit that machines might be introduced in the spring (i.e., in the coming weeks) with a long wait for delivery.
More to the point, as each day and each week passes, it becomes more likely for a 3Ghz announcement anyway. It's like the light bulb in a Poisson distribution (if you don't know what that is, don't bother). Additionally, a little common sense should tell you that if Jobs told people 3Ghz machines would arrive by summer,
that guarantee means that as summer approaches, savvy buyers will be increasingly inclined to delay their purchases, counting on the fact that their delay will translate into getting more bang for the buck. Therefore, as a result, Jobs & company have every incentive to
accelerate the announced timetable so as to avoid a precipitous decline in sales caused by nothing more than consumer expectations.
If 3Ghz machines had come out last month like the guy predicted, I'd give him some props. If they come out this month, he saves some face although is my no means an infallible oracle. Any time after that and we're just talking about some pretty predictable economic behavior -- nothing groundbreaking really.
Oh, and as for your snotty comment about basing buying decisions on rumor sites: I'm going to assume that the "you" term you used wasn't directed at me...because if it was, it suggests you can't read, since I clearly stated that some people read rumor sites for buying information but didn't say that I did. In any event, rumor sites can provide you with invaluable assistance on buying. Common sense can go a long way toward telling you what the future holds, and sometimes ideas will come to some people that might not come to others. That's the nature of an interactive community -- the sharing of ideas. Furthermore, there are some rumor sites with pretty good track records (ThinkSecret comes to mind) that can and, in my opinion, should influence buying decisions.
